Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.743116 0.872633 1.012715 1.174845 1.356667 1.553627 1.782445
2025-08-10 0.512277 0.685935 0.892670 1.153739 1.471241 1.841413 2.301938
2025-08-17 0.354548 0.539501 0.780606 1.109999 1.539660 2.072133 2.771980
2025-08-24 0.265392 0.454563 0.722151 1.113377 1.654239 2.358220 3.324054
2025-08-31 0.200092 0.384690 0.666880 1.105848 1.744749 2.612203 3.846072
2025-09-07 0.163653 0.348815 0.651639 1.147914 1.901237 2.959124 4.507053
2025-09-14 0.133130 0.314334 0.630709 1.175202 2.034170 3.277510 5.142899
2025-09-21 0.102000 0.269721 0.583956 1.153179 2.087180 3.480796 5.623954
2025-09-28 0.084308 0.246463 0.569330 1.179834 2.214378 3.796227 6.277123
2025-10-05 0.069793 0.225606 0.554874 1.203456 2.336116 4.107413 6.935552
2025-10-12 0.057634 0.206332 0.539644 1.222631 2.449905 4.409988 7.591778
2025-10-19 0.046096 0.184537 0.514986 1.220458 2.525585 4.654642 8.168199
2025-10-26 0.034359 0.157820 0.475440 1.186539 2.546314 4.817781 8.635506
2025-11-02 0.026981 0.140957 0.454759 1.187331 2.628711 5.085592 9.278994
2025-11-09 0.019579 0.119829 0.418962 1.151763 2.640806 5.236640 9.743057
2025-11-16 0.015411 0.108228 0.404460 1.159155 2.732625 5.524652 10.436304
2025-11-23 0.011713 0.095979 0.385195 1.153038 2.797071 5.767615 11.064001
2025-11-30 0.009973 0.091787 0.387839 1.197223 2.962794 6.193268 12.006659
2025-12-07 0.008177 0.085920 0.384141 1.225735 3.098471 6.570918 12.880946
2025-12-14 0.005877 0.074688 0.360726 1.203102 3.127608 6.758799 13.441505
2025-12-21 0.004771 0.070039 0.357656 1.230712 3.262387 7.142348 14.345452
2025-12-28 0.003826 0.065444 0.353605 1.255152 3.391601 7.520155 15.250157
2026-01-04 0.003014 0.060793 0.348112 1.274980 3.511757 7.885230 16.142829